February 1st, 2018
2018 got off to a good start and January more or less held its ground when compared to 2017. There were some misses, but surprise holdovers made up the difference. Looking forward, February will be dominated by Black Panther. In fact, it will very likely make more during its opening weekend than the second place film, Fifty Shades Freed, will likely make in total. Black Panther likely won’t break records, but it could come close, while Fifty Shade Freed and Peter Rabbit both have a 50/50 shot at $100 million. Last February, The Lego Batman Movie both earned $175 million, while Fifty Shades Darker earned over $100 million. Black Panther will easily beat any film from last February; in fact, it could earn more than the top two films earned combined. As long as the rest of the box office isn’t a complete disaster, February should help 2018 earn a significant edge over 2017 in the year-over-year comparisons.
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October 1st, 2017
September destroyed the previous September monthly record for total box office take, with $800 million or so (we won’t know the exact figure until after the weekend), which tops 2016’s record of $616 million. Granted, this is almost entirely due to It’s record breaking run, and the rest of the month was merely average. Kingsman: The Golden Circle was the only other film to come close to $100 million. October doesn’t look any better, as far as depth is concerned. Blade Runner 2049 is widely expected to be the biggest hit of the month, but it is the only film expected to reach $100 million domestically. Boo 2 should be the second biggest hit of the month, while there are only a couple of other films that have a shot at $50 million. Part of the problem is the level of competition, as there are 16 films opening during the four October weekends. (Needless to say, some of the predictions below will be a little short, as there’s not much to say about a film that will barely open in the top ten and disappear two weeks later.) That’s way too many and most will be buried by the competition. Last October was a flop, as no film earned more than $100 million at the box office. There were a few films that came close, including the original Boo! movie. As long as Blade Runner 2049 matches expectations, 2017 should win the year-over-year comparison by a small margin. If we get one surprise hit, then 2017 has a real shot at closing the gap with 2016 by a significant margin. I choose to be cautiously optimistic.
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Director Credits
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Latest Ranking on All Technical Box Office Record Lists
| Record | Rank | Amount |
|---|
| Top Grossing Director at the Domestic Box Office (Rank 701-800) |
764 |
$93,246,225 |
| Top Grossing Screenwriter at the Domestic Box Office (Rank 1,801-1,900) |
1,821 |
$55,193,393 |
| Top Grossing Director at the International Box Office (Rank 701-800) |
743 |
$113,769,700 |
| Top Grossing Producer at the International Box Office (Rank 3,901-4,000) |
3,953 |
$5,386,852 |
| Top Grossing Screenwriter at the International Box Office (Rank 2,001-2,100) |
2,020 |
$47,599,217 |
| Top Grossing Director at the Worldwide Box Office (Rank 701-800) |
763 |
$207,015,925 |
| Top Grossing Producer at the Worldwide Box Office (Rank 5,001-5,100) |
5,061 |
$5,386,852 |
| Top Grossing Screenwriter at the Worldwide Box Office (Rank 1,901-2,000) |
1,979 |
$102,792,610 |
